 | | The Daily Reckoning | Sunday, July 17, 2011 | Forget QE3 – America's Going Bust, on the Road to Bankrupt Hell If America had a credit card, it would get mercilessly cut up and thrown back in her face. The country's basically broke and isn't paying its debts. Harsh, but true. All of that – and how it could affect your family and your retirement – is revealed in this urgent video report. Don't wait, watch now. ------------------------------------------------------- This Week's Most Popular Column: ------------------------------------------------------- - Ratings agencies are on the crime scene...but all eyes are on the perp,
- Readers weigh in on the debt ceiling debate, Germany's rise and the cost of leverage,
- Plus, all the rest of this week's reckonings, debt-free and ready for your leisurely afternoon reading...
|  | | | | Ratings Agencies Late Again | | |  | | Joel Bowman | Checking in from Buenos Aires, Argentina... Among the juicy media tidbits on offer this week, ratings agencies Moody's and S&P, rarely accused of being early on the scene, threatened to sever the United States prized AAA credit rating. The pair cited political gridlock regarding the debt ceiling debate and the nation's uncertain (to put it mildly) financial situation as cause for concern. Should the agencies – which are licensed, let us not forget, by the US Government – choose to make good on their threat, it would be the first time in history the US was awarded anything less than the highest possible rating. One might think that, since the AAA rating is supposed to indicate "zero-risk," a platform from which all other risk is priced globally, a downgrade for the United States would have dire consequences, not only for the nation itself, but for all assets priced relative to US Treasurys. "Ho hum," said investors, who were evidently far more concerned with the mutterings of one Ben S. Bernanke and his on-again, off-again hints at QE3...or QE2.5...or whatever his next round of money conjuring might be called. As we've observed many times before in these pages, by the time these ratings agencies have arrived at the crime scene, the perpetrator is usually long gone. How curious, then, that today we should find not only that the perp is still on the scene...with green ink staining his hands...but that he has captivated everyone's attention. To switch metaphors for a moment, the lunatics are truly running the asylum. Just how far along the road to financial ruin is the temporarily AAA-clad Empire, we wonder? Addison provided some details in this week's feature column, We, "The Public." "According to the Bipartisan Policy Center," wrote Addison, "tax revenue for the 29 days of August after the 2nd will total roughly $172.4 billion. That compares to $306.7 billion in spending. "Ordinarily, the Treasury would cover that $134.3 billion gap by issuing new Treasury debt. But after Aug. 2, it won't be able to do so. That means Uncle Sam would have to immediately balance his books. "What would that look like? "Well, he'd have to choose his priorities. The Bipartisan Policy Center report breaks down the government's Aug. 3-31 expenses in a way that shows what the $172.4 billion in revenue can cover... and what it can't. "The Social Security checks would still be cut," observed Addison, "but not income tax refunds. Medicare and Medicaid would be kept going...but not food stamps. Military contractors would still be paid...but not the troops. "They can move certain items above the $172.4 billion line and others below it...but something has to give. And as we pointed out yesterday, matters are even worse than that list of priorities reveals." For the rest of Addison's feature column, see here: We, "The Public" – By Addison Wiggin
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| | ALSO THIS WEEK in The Daily Reckoning... | | | The Euro and You By Frederick Sheehan A week does not go by without the ECB reducing its standards of collateral. The cost is not only its credibility as a central bank, but in the composition of its deteriorating balance sheet. To make matters worse, Greece is the smallest economy among the impoverished PIIGS: Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain. Since others will probably follow Greece, the current impasse is all the more discouraging. The Greek government cannot meet its July interest payment obligations to banks, central and commercial. It can no longer borrow from banks or in the bond markets. (This is also true for Ireland and Portugal, and possibly others.) Distress is the Mother of Opportunity By Ray Blanco Few technologies have had a greater impact than the invention of television. But, it took decades for the basic idea to become commonplace. In the early 20th century, inventors tinkered with a variety of low- resolution electromechanical displays. The FCC even granted experimental broadcast licenses for early TV broadcasts using these sets. Yet by the mid-1930s, the broadcasts had ceased. It would take a superior technology to make television practical for the masses. Graphene: The Next Wonder Material? By Addison Wiggin Baltimore, Maryland Cheap solar panels. The most powerful transistors ever. Even the ability to make a fighter jet invisible. One barrier to solar breakthrough – its cost – is going down Each of these breakthroughs has been announced in the last two weeks. Each relies on one of the most basic elements mined from the earth. And each could line your pockets with cash if you move quickly enough. Let's hopscotch through these new developments... The Greater Depression Is Upon Us By David Galland The phrase "Greater Depression" was coined by Doug Casey a decade or so back, as a way of describing the economic crisis he foresaw as inevitable, and which is now materializing. Doug Casey now believes that the unfolding crisis is going to be even worse than he first imagined, and the longer the rest of us at Casey Research study the tea leaves, it is hard to disagree that the Greater Depression is still ahead. Consider...
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| |  | | | | The Weekly Endnote... | | | And now, a few words from our Fellow Reckoners... First up, Reckoner J.S.H. has this: Here are my thoughts on the subject. It does not seem like the majority of folks in our country are taking this situation seriously enough. The news media has done a lousy job of explaining what it means to everyone. Not just the rich or poor, but all people in our country. Congress and the president all seem to be jockeying for position to end the crisis with a big bang. What they should be doing is get down to brass tacks, so to speak, and put everything on the table. Taxes, spending, entitlements including their own salary, including foreign aid and such. Lastly, military spending. If they cannot get together in say 5 more days – go home because you are not doing your job. They were all elected to do their job, what is best for the citizens of this country. Either get on with it or go back home. We will hold elections and run people who are worth less than say $100,000.00 and see if they can do a better job of running this country. And this, from Reckoner M.K., in Florida: I read with interest Bill Bonner's article, "Giving up on the economic recovery." When he states that the middle class has been decimated, he's absolutely correct. He also stated: Leverage is an amazing thing: When prices go up, the borrower gets all the gains. And when prices go down, the borrower takes all the losses. Some families lost everything when the bubble collapsed, others lost very little. But, on average, American homeowners lost 55% of the wealth in their home. This is correct as far as it goes. However, entire regions in many states have seen their home values plummet much further than that. By comparing all the regions with each other actually minimizes the problems in the areas that were hardest hit. MUCH more than a loss of 55% was realized in these areas. For instance Southwest Florida from Bradenton, to Fort Myers, even as far south as Naples have seen housing values plummet below year 2000's valuation. My own home, for which I paid $305,000 in 2007, finally sold in 2010 for $91,000. The buyer? Fannie & Freddie. Good luck with that. And finally, a thoughtful musing from Reckoner P.A.: Just had an idea... While everyone is distracted by China rising, Germany is rising and shining. A First World country, skilled in running the First World. After the 'Wall' fell, Germany took a breather to collect itself. Two decades later it is Europe's largest economy, the world's fourth largest economy, the world's second largest exporter, etc., etc. It is growing and prospering, while the PIIGs are becoming totally dependent on EU loans. Should that read: dependent on German aid? Rioting mobs in Greece can see the huge debt trap closing in on them, but supposedly the high-minded, high officials of the IMF and ECB can't do the math! Rot. The EU is about controlling trade. Germany dominates the EU. In developing countries we know this game. The EU won't allow free trade. Giving aid or loans that cannot be repaid is preferred. That way local industry and independent growth is discouraged. First establish economic control then at the first excuse move in the military. Isn't that how it is done? Not sure, I skipped political science. Here comes the Fourth Reich, bigger and better! It's just an idea. Europe is finished I hear. --- If you'd like to chime in, feel free to send your thoughts to us at the address below. Other than that... ..enjoy your weekend. Cheers, Joel Bowman Managing Editor The Daily Reckoning ------------------------------------------------------- Here at The Daily Reckoning, we value your questions and comments. If you would like to send us a few thoughts of your own, please address them to your managing editor at joel@dailyreckoning.com
| |  |  |  |  | Sticking With the Golden Formula As Empires Crumble "Sell stocks on rallies; buy gold on dips." That has been our advice for the last 11 years. Don't we have anything to add? Haven't we discovered any new tricks? Isn't it time to try a different strategy? Nope. Stick with the formula. It's a formula that doesn't work very often. But when it does...it's, well, golden. Makers, Takers and the Transfer of Wealth Active Volcanoes of Debt | China: Where Money Is Treated Best I am sure that Mr. Pento is right because every country on the Face Of The Planet (FOTP) is desperately creating more and more money, and the money will eventually find its way to the place where it is treated best and/or has the best prospects, which is, in this case, Bob. Oops! I meant "China." Buying Gold on the Price Inflation Guarantee Awaiting the "Zero Hour" of Available Credit | How QE3 Could Bring About $5,000 Gold and $1,000 Silver With potential for QE3 — a third round of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program — on the horizon, governments around the world must consider alternatives to the US dollar and other paper money. These developments are likely to continue impacting precious metal prices. Bernanke Backtracks Stimulus Talk Moody's Warns of a Downgrade for US Debt |  |
| | The Daily Reckoning: Now in its 11th year, The Daily Reckoning is the flagship e-letter of Baltimore-based financial research firm and publishing group Agora Financial, a subsidiary of Agora Inc. The Daily Reckoning provides over half a million subscribers with literary economic perspective, global market analysis, and contrarian investment ideas. Published daily in six countries and three languages, each issue delivers a feature-length article by a senior member of our team and a guest essay from one of many leading thinkers and nationally acclaimed columnists. | |
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| | | (0) Books remaining on Shelf | | Because your Sample Shelf is empty, here is today's featured sample. To receive only the samples you have selected, please update your profile here. | | | | |  A few hours before I went to live with my aunt, Yvalia came to say good-bye to me. I was happy to see her because prior to her visit, I was crying alone in my empty bedroom at Uncle Andre’s house; I was still skeptical about my adaption with the small corner in my aunt’s house, but I managed to not let Yvalia see that I was crying. As a matter of fact, I held a smiley face. Something unexpected was going to happen: a moment of passion. “Hey, Evenson, are you okay?” “I am trying, little mango.” “Is that you, Evenson?” Yvalia called out, approaching slowly. Like she used to do, she jumped to give me the most perfect friendly hug. “Oh, hey, my Yvalia, don’t make me fall on the floor because your hug is too powerful,” I said. “Have you been drinking, because I smelled alcohol when you started talking,” Yvalia asked. “No…no. Not at all—only have two bottles of wine.” I looked at her straight in the eyes. “Just, yes, just wine—wine helps me to stay relaxed.” “You are sure about that? Only two bottles of wine?” “Yes, Yvalia.” “Why is the smell of alcohol so strong?” “I don’t know, Yvalia. Maybe because I still haven’t eaten dinner, yet.” “I can’t let you go without seeing you, and I would like to tell you that I will, for sure, visit you at your aunt’s; however, my brothers and sisters will probably go crazy about that. Anyway, I will visit you. I feel that I am in a different world now for a few reasons. First, I lost my favorite spot under my mom’s almond tree, where we used to laugh, cry, and have our most friendly conversations. Second, I will not have somebody close to me to talk about things that make me happy or sad. Third, this friendship is the best treasure that I have in my life,” she said. I looked sad from the beginning of her first word. It was difficult for me to accept that new reality in my life, living far from Yvalia, for I knew many things in her life, and I was effectively the best moral support for her—she always felt fantastic when she was with me. I remember when her sisters used to say, “If Yvalia is laughing so loud, Evenson is here.” Yes, the separation was difficult for me, I admit. I was merely asking life if things couldn’t be different, but I couldn’t undo the reality. We went inside the room to see if I had taken everything out. Then, we sat on the floor to continue our conversation. The sun started setting below the western horizon that evening, and all of a sudden, there was a moment of silence between us. She glanced at me, and I also took a quick look at her. Without saying a word to each other for a good three minutes, we both lay completely on the floor. Slowly, she put her head on my chest, then her body completely on me, so we started hugging each other, and our bodies responded emotionally. At first, we managed to just enjoy the hugs; however, we both were fighting the physiological reactions of our nerves. But the intensity of the reactions of our senses became stronger and stronger, so we started kissing. The kiss was as if we were two passionate lovers who couldn’t see each other for years and then found the perfect occasion to let out their kissing passion. While we were kissing, we hugged each other so tight; we could barely breathe well, but we didn’t care. And while we were kissing, we both had tears coming down on our faces, and we sympathetically kept saying, “I’ll miss you, I’ll miss you, I’ll miss you.” We realized that it was getting late, so we ended the affectionate moment because I had to go to my aunt’s. When we got up from the floor, we felt a little bit uncomfortable. I said, “I didn’t want that to happen between us because my love for you wasn’t to be girlfriend and boyfriend.” “I know, Evenson, but I kissed you because I wanted to have it as one of the best memories of our friendship, and I would like to thank you for not letting yourself go all the way, for I would not be able to refuse you; there is something that I have hidden for a long time,” said Yvalia. “What, Yvalia?” “Evenson, I love you, but I know we’re powerless to do anything about it because of how my family negatively rushed to mess up our wonderful friendship.” “Why didn’t you tell me that earlier?” “And at the beginning, it was purely a deep friendship appreciation, but that moment when you were about to go living far from me, I felt that my heart couldn’t resist anymore; I will never forget you in my life—the kiss was not a violation of our friendship; indeed, it’s the precious souvenir that my heart will cherish for the rest of my life.” “Okay, Yvalia, I understand. So do you feel that kiss will be a consolation for you?” “Yes, Evenson, and it’s time for you to go, for it’s getting late; I don’t want anything to happen to you because the streets are not safe at night.” “Okay, you are right, I am going to leave now, so another hug—hum…m…m…m.” “Bye, Evenson.” “Bye, Yvalia.” “Next Sunday, I will visit you.” “Okay, I will be more than happy to see you, Yvalia.” She gave me an envelope, and she commanded me to read it as soon as I arrived at my aunt’s house. When we were about ten feet away from each other, she shouted, “I miss you.” The letter: Dear Evenson, I am very much lucky that I met you in my life, and you have changed my dark past to a new horizon. The experience I’ve known with my brother, Yve, intoxicated my mind and my heart. What he did to me was ill-intentioned. Before I had you as my best friend, I had a significant empty spot in my heart and my mind, but you now make me feel that life has more sense ahead for me. Before I met you, I tried everything on my own to relieve my memory from the terrible images when my brother was abusing me sexually; however, I couldn’t overcome the malaise. I prayed, smiled to others, and preoccupied myself with religious activities, but still there was something dark inside of my mind. You brought a new light in my life in only a few minutes after I told the disturbing secret. I’ve noticed a different personality in me. Yes, you today make me feel that my future won’t be subject to deception and rejection. When I smile now, the joy comes from profoundly in my heart, but before it wasn’t like that: my soul was constantly in sadness inside of me. I thought that I didn’t have any more pride and qualities, but you nowadays make me feel as if I am still a precious person in the society. The fear that I had is almost gone. The images of Yve on top of me when I was 7 are almost gone because of all your wonderful advice. I really don’t know how to express my joy for knowing you. I would not get the idea I am still a great person even though I was sexually abused by my own brother. All the things I knew about me was perhaps a bad girl who had sex very young. I didn’t know if one day I would see myself as a wonderful person. Yes, I didn’t give myself more importance than a prostitute walking up and down Dessalines Boulevard. I didn’t consider that someday I could be a model for young teens to follow, and my self-esteem was always at its lowest point. I failed to look at myself as someone that somebody else should trust. I felt that my life had no sense at all since I was very young. So, since I have you as my best, true friend, I today have the impression that my life starts over. And now I feel immensely blessed to have a chance to get everything right about my personality. Nowadays, I feel that I am alive for real in this deceptive life. Since the first few hours after I told you how my brother monstrously abused me, I was surprised to learn from you that my qualities are beyond the acts of abuse that I was a victim of. This idea from you was made even more clear to me recently as I sat under the shade of the almond tree by myself thinking that I shouldn’t blame myself because of the fact that I didn’t have any idea how being sexually abused by my brother, Yve, would impact me psychologically. I remembered one day when he brutally forced himself to get inside of me. It was like a bunny that was violently attacked by a 190-pound tiger. I somewhat wanted to tell my mother, my brothers, and my sisters about all the abuse, but I never had the courage to do so. But when I became aware of the extent of the mental confusion inflicted to me, I thought about doing something bad to my brother. Thank you for giving me a renewed joy, even though my brother took from me something that I will never have back again. I used to feel trapped by negative memories, stuck in depression, humiliated for many years, but life sent you as the best, respectful friend to turn to then. You gave more than good advice. You are a great person and thank you for everything. Remember you will be fine. I will keep praying for you. Your loving friend, Yvalia Dear reader, if I had the power to start everything from scratch in my life, I would be more than happy to see myself with Yvalia under the almond tree because there is nothing that can replace a true friend in this difficult life. You know as well as I know that a true friend is not only difficult to find, but a true friend is extremely rare. You realize that no matter how close somebody can be with his or her family members, an outsider can be the best confidant for you, and you can be most trustworthy for someone else. In this friendship, I decided to have a positive impact in Yvalia’s life, and she did the same thing in my life. You can say that I was either weak or crazy, for the fact that on a perfect occasion, I avoided having sex with my friend Yvalia. But let me tell you this: today, I am extremely happy because I didn’t do it for a few reasons. First, I was young, but I had the capacity to understand and discover the difference between love based on friendship and love based on an erotic relationship. Second, I have learned what a good friend means in life. Third, a good friendship is a backup that neither money nor gold can buy. Moreover, I would feel miserable, terrible in my life if, in fact, I tried to take advantage of her after she told me what happened in her life with her brother Yve. Furthermore, I discovered that I could respect myself and my own words since I was very young. Finally, I would like to tell you if you find someone who really cares for you, please don’t increase the nightmare of bad memories in that person’s life—remember, sometimes friendship is more fragile than a relationship. Yvalia’s face was so sad that I’d rushed and challenged myself to find the best way to help her in her situation. I had said to her that there’s no reason to feel so depressed because she didn’t have any maturity when her brother perpetuated his abusive actions on her. She was like mentally blinded, forever blinded by the abuse. She was so badly depressed that I was tempted to attack Yve physically. It was a miracle she didn’t think of committing suicide with that level of anxiety, and also she was courageous. Yvalia’s outlook on life and her attitude about having a good future based on her faith in Jehovah were courageous, too. Her faith, patience, and resistance to her confusion amazed me. I was there to tell her that she was born to live the best life possible because she didn’t do anything wrong; she was simply and clearly a victim. I must admit that I didn’t know if my expressions would really help her because her situation was so shocking. I remember her teeth almost cut my skin when her head was on my chest while she was crying because she thought without being a virgin, a girl or a woman would never have a good life. But after being the only one who first knew about the disturbing secret, I did my best to help her to no longer be confused about her devastating abuse. Instead, she became more resilient, and her determination to have a good education was at all times higher than ever. Continues... | | | | | Get Author Circle Updates. Join Now to receive promotions related to this title and author like special advance previews, sweepstakes, updates and more! terms |  | | | | | | | | | | | | BookDaily Top Five | - A Dance with Dragons: A Song of Ice and Fire: Book Five
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| | | | Excerpted from The First and Last Kiss by Evenson Dufour. Copyright © 2010 by Evenson Dufour. Excerpted by permission. All rights reserved. No part of this excerpt may be reproduced or reprinted without permission in writing. | | | | | Manage Your Subscriptions You are currently subscribed as dwyld.kwu.careers@blogger.com. To unsubscribe from this newsletter, please notify us here. BookDaily, ArcaMax Publishing, Inc., 729 Thimble Shoals Blvd., Suite 1-B, Newport News, VA 23606 | FAX (757) 596-9731 Copyright © 2010 ArcaMax Publishing, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Contact Us | FAQ/Help | Privacy Notice | | | | |
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