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Friday, December 20, 2013

Top of the charts

The onslaught of year-end lists is upon us, and in the econoblogosphere that means, among other things, charts. Lots of charts.

The Atlantic’s Matthew O’Brien rounds up the most important economic stories of 2013 from 44 journalists, economists, and policy experts. Business Insider’s Matthew Boesler has 100-plus charts from investors and Wall Street analysts. The Counterparties team sorted through O’Brien and Boesler’s lists, as well as our own catalogue of charts, to semi-arbitrarily bring you the 8 best charts (of the best charts) of the year:

 

1. Wages detaching from productivity

This chart from the Economic Policy Institute (cropped from the original for space reasons) shows how wages haven’t kept up with productivity increases since the 1970s. Today, the president of the EPI tweeted that this would be the chart on his tombstone.

 

2. The long-term unemployment crisis

The BLS charts the rise in long-term unemployment, which has surged since the financial crisis. As a result, AEI’s Michael Strain writes that millions of workers are “suffering financially, emotionally, spiritually… Society is also suffering: A large pool of willing and able workers are idle; our already segmented society is even more segmented; our country is less dynamic, vibrant, and thriving”.

 

3. The 30-year decline of middle class jobs


Here’s Cardiff Garcia: this “graph shows is that middle class employment is much smaller as a share of the employed labor force than it was three decades ago”. Occupations are ordered from the lowest to highest paid, left to right.

 

4. America’s shrinking workforce

This shows the labor force participation rates for men (green), women (orange) and the overall rate (blue). From 1948 (when we started collecting data) to roughly 2000 the trend was mostly the same: women were joining the labor force in pretty consistent numbers, driving the overall workforce up, even as men dropped out. Then, in 2000, something happened. Suddenly, the female and overall rates flatline and head downward after the recession. And it doesn’t look like it’s going to get better anytime soon, either.

 

5. 2013 was a great year for stocks

Surging stock markets in the developed world were a huge story this year. This chart from Deutsche Bank, via Tracy Alloway, shows just how well you would have picked, relative to other asset classes, if you picked developed economy stocks 12 months ago.

6. The government-dominated bond market

Felix spotted this chart via JP Morgan’s Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou: “central-bank buying accounts for $1.6 trillion — more than half — of the total demand for bonds in 2013”.

7. Where did the inflation go?

This chart, in Mike Konczal’s words, shows “the collapse in inflation after the overhaul of policy introduced by the Federal Reserve in late 2012 to hit its inflation target”. US inflation is historically low, and below the Fed’s 2% target -- which is a major factor why Fed policymakers are still committed to keeping the central bank’s short-term interest rates near zero.

 

8. The rise of web headlines featuring the phrase “in one chart” In One Chart:


Honorable mention (due to its being resurfaced from 2010): Measuring how much Edmonton loves hockey, flush by flush.


Unfortunately disqualified due to its 2010 publication date, this chart shows Edmonton’s municipal water consumption, which is overwhelmingly driven by the number of toilet flushes, the day before and the day of the Olympic gold medal hockey game.

— Shane Ferro and Ben Walsh 

On to today’s links:

Long Reads
Miami Babel: A weekend in the art world’s most baffling, velvet-roped, celebrity-filled spectacle - Shane Ferro

Charts
How we spend - Matthew Klein

Pivots
The "self-proclaimed creator of the ‘Occupy’ meme, has formed his own boutique activist consultancy" - Overland
Why an epidemiologist with a Stanford PhD became a fruit picker - NPR

Alpha
An in-depth look at Wall Street's historic move to centralize America's home rental market - Bloomberg

Fascinating
"Trust is valuable, but it is in short supply among low-income people who don't feel trusting is safe" - Boston Review

Must Watch
"Why does First Round Capital’s holiday video feature a talking camel and its founder riding a wrecking ball (in a fat suit)?” - Bess Levin

Oxpeckers
Study: Snowfalling mostly succeeds in disorienting readers - Fast Company

Wow
"32 pounds of flour, over 100 individual tests, and 1,536 cookies later I had my answers" - Serious Eats

Felix
Mark Zuckerberg has started cashing out of Facebook in a really big way - Reuters

White Collar Crime
A reminder that the sexy, dangerous Wolf of Wall Street pretty much ruined some investors' lives - NYT

Follow Counterparties on Twitter. And, of course, there are many more links at Counterparties.

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Business Today: Wall Street gains on GDP data; indexes post strong week

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12/20/2013
Reuters Election 2012 Daily round-up of the day's top news from the campaign trail, the White House and all the politics in between
Wall Street gains on GDP data; indexes post strong week
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks rose on Friday, capping the best week for major indexes in months as unexpectedly strong data on economic growth increased confidence that the recovery was accelerating.
Yellen takes big step toward taking reins at Fed
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Janet Yellen, an unwavering advocate of the Federal Reserve's aggressive steps to boost the U.S. economy, on Friday took a big step toward becoming the first woman to chair the central bank as her nomination cleared a Senate procedural hurdle.
U.S. growth revised higher, economy on firmer footing
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. economy grew at its fastest pace in almost two years in the third quarter, the government said on Friday as it revised its estimates of business and consumer spending higher.
AT&T to join Verizon in government data-request disclosures
(Reuters) - AT&T Inc will join rival Verizon Communications in disclosing details on government requests for customer data starting in 2014, after investors called on the two largest U.S. carriers to reveal more about controversial spying operations.
Insight: To flee Ohio oil boom, Amish cash out by selling royalties
ST CLAIRSVILLE, Ohio (Reuters) - Farmers in the close-knit Amish community who eschew electricity and most technology, are among landowners capitalizing on a new financial trend in the United States energy boom - selling decades of future oil and natural gas royalties for an immediate pile of cash.
Analysis: As Fed tapers, don't count out emerging market currencies
NEW YORK (Reuters) - When the Federal Reserve first started talking about cutting its massive stimulus earlier this year, emerging-market currencies went into a tailspin. This time round, investors don't see that happening.
Judge denies bid to delay insider trading trial of SAC executive
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Mathew Martoma, the latest employee of Steven A. Cohen's SAC Capital Advisors to face trial on insider trading charges, lost a bid on Friday to delay his trial, which is scheduled to start on January 6.
Deutsche Bank to pay $1.9 billion to settle U.S. mortgage case
FRANKFURT/NEW YORK (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank said on Friday it will pay $1.9 billion to settle claims that it defrauded two U.S. government-controlled companies in the sale of mortgage-backed securities before the 2008 financial crisis.
BlackBerry steps back on handset business, shares jump
TORONTO (Reuters) - BlackBerry Ltd said on Friday it was entering a handset production deal that lowers the risk it will have to take more massive writedowns on unsold smartphones, and its shares surged even though it posted dismal quarterly results.
Pentagon, suppliers draft plan to lower F-35 cost: Pratt
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Defense Department and top suppliers on the $392 billion F-35 fighter program are developing a plan to drive down the cost of the Pentagon's most expensive weapons program, the head of enginemaker Pratt & Whitney told Reuters.
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