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Tuesday, August 6, 2013

Do Alex Rodriguez's Home Run Rates Tell Us How Long He Used Steroids?

Can Adrian Peterson Break Emmitt Smith's All-Time Rushing Record?

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Tuesday, Aug 6, 2013
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Do Alex Rodriguez's Home Run Rates Tell Us How Long He Used Steroids?

Alex Rodriguez admitted to using steroids from 2001 through 2003 after signing his first record contract with the Texas Rangers. While Rodriguez did hit 50 home runs for the first time in 2001, his home run rate (Home Runs per Ball in Play; HR/BIP) was similar to his last two seasons in Seattle. 

His home run rate fell in 2004 when he claims he stopped using steroids (his first season with the Yankees). However, his power peaked again in 2005, and reached a career-high in 2007 when 11.4% of the balls he hit in play went over the fence.

In all, A-Rod has nine seasons in his career in which at least 8.5% of the balls he hit in play were home runs. And only three of those came during the years in which he admitted to using steroids.

We will probably never know the true extent of Alex Rodriguez's use of performance-enhancing drugs. But this chart does show that he had a number of seasons, both before and after, in which he showed a similar ability to hit home runs as when he admits to using steroids...

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