| BNP Paribas may soon find out the cost of allegedly violating US sanctions: about $10 billion. The US Justice Department is reportedly close to levying the biggest fine ever paid by a single bank against the French financial institution for doing business with countries like Sudan and Iran. The size of the punishment would far outstrip Credit Suisse's $2.5 billion fine for helping Americans evade taxes. Like Credit Suisse, BNP is expected to plead guilty to criminal charges. DealBook's Jessica Silver Greenberg and Ben Protess report that several months ago BNP "thought it had a secret weapon to avoid that fate altogether": a memo drafted in 2004 by outside counsel. Based on the memo, BNP executed transactions for Sudan, but attempted to exclude any US-based employees from the work. After reviewing the memo, however, US prosecutors determined that it did not cover the charges the bank faced: that it has processed transactions on behalf of Iran and Sudan through its US operations. The French government's reaction to the negotiations between BNP and US law enforcement has been rather fluid. Just two days ago, French officials were wary of politicizing the fine, at least publicly. Privately, however, the bank had been enlisting the support of French government officials for some time. Yesterday, that tactic seemed to shift into the media, with French foreign minister calling the potential fine "unfair and unilateral". And today, the French finance minister called the penalty "inequitable". French president Francois Hollande now plans to talk to President Obama about the "disproportionate" nature of the fine directly at a dinner commemorating D-Day on Friday. That's not exactly, Bess Levin notes, a low-key way of raising the issue. The French government's response is not just awkward because BNP is France's largest bank by market cap. Dealbreaker's Jon Shazar writes that "France has spent most the post-crisis period pushing to hold banks accountable. But the Americans holding a French bank accountable? That's where they draw the line". Beyond a multi-billion dollar fine, US prosecutors appear to be after another form of punishment. They want to strip BNP of its authorization to transfer dollars in and out of the US, which is called "dollar clearing" and is an essential service for any global bank. Matt Levine thinks US prosecutors' focus on dollar clearing is a way of ratcheting up the penalties of criminal charges against financial institutions. "After BNP Paribas, no one will really want to be the third big bank to plead guilty to crimes". That may or may not be the outcome the Justice Department is looking for. — Ben Walsh On to today's links: Jobs
"Most of the marginally attached are not classified as discouraged" - Atlanta Fed Bad News
What it's like to deliver bad news for a living (hint: bad) - Carrie Seim Yikes
The number of child immigrants entering the US alone and illegally is skyrocketing - Dara Lind Non-Bank Financial Institutions That Also Sell Sheets
Finally a credit card with chip technology — from Wal-Mart! - Elizabeth Harris Regulators
The Fed may be ready to throw out Basel III already - Reuters Long Reads
How the auto industry worked to make 30,000 traffic deaths per year acceptable to society - Collectors Weekly Innovators
Everything's an index fund now - Matt Levine | 
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