How The Patriots Blew A Super Bowl Win

View this email online | Add newsletter@businessinsider.com to your address book
		Tech Entertainment Wall Street Markets Strategy Sports Lifestyle Politics Europe Video Latest Monday, February 6, 2012 How The Patriots Blew A Super Bowl Win With less than five minutes remaining in Super Bowl 46, the New England Patriots had a 1st-and-10 at the New York Giants 43 yard line and a 17-15 lead. At that point, based on Win Probability Added* (via AdvancedNFLstats.com), the Giants only had a 20 percent (0.20 WPA) chance of winning the Super Bowl. And yet, over the next 4:40, the Giants reversed their nearly sealed fate, and became Super Bowl champs. The five biggest plays of the turnaround included (corresponding to the letters on the chart below): A) Tom Brady's incomplete pass on 3rd-and-11 at the Giants 44, forcing a punt; B) Eli Manning's 38-yard pass to Mario Manningham to start the game-winning drive; C) Manningham's 16-yard catch to the Patriots 34 putting the Giants in field goal range (this was the biggest play based on WPA); D) Hakeem Nicks 14-yard catch to the 18; and E) Ahmad Bradshaw's take-a-dump-on-the-goal line touchdown. Read  * WPA is the probability of a team winning a game at any particular point during the game, and how much that probability changes from play-to-play. Also On Sports Page Today: A Giants Player Proposed To His Girlfriend On The Field Moments After Winning The Super Bowl WATCH: The Giants Celebrated On Their Plane Ride Home The TRUTH About Spending Thousands Of Dollars To Go To The Super Bowl Look How Sad Boston Fans Were After Another One Of Their Teams Collapsed Advertisement SPORTS CHART OF THE DAY: Super Bowl Halftime Acts Have Gotten Old Since 'The Wardrobe Malfunction' SPORTS CHART OF THE DAY: Both Super Bowl Teams Are Peaking At The Right Time SPORTS CHART OF THE DAY: Giants And Patriots Look To Move Up List Of NFL's Winningest Franchises Share this: Facebook Twitter Digg Reddit StumbleUpon LinkedIn The email address for your subscription is: dwyld.kwu.jobhuntportal11@blogger.com Change Your Email Address | Unsubscribe | Subscribe | Subscribe to the Sports Page RSS Feed Business Insider. 257 Park Avenue South, New York, NY 10010 Terms of Service | Privacy Policy

If you believe this has been sent to you in error, please safely unsubscribe.