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Yashi

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

How Silver predictions performed

How Silver predictions performed

By way of Rafa Irizarry from Simply Statistics, a plot of Nate Silver's probabilities for Barack Obama winning a state versus the percentage of vote in each state, as of midnight EST.

I guess that's pretty (100%) good. Looks like the folks at Princeton didn't do half bad either. It's a win for Obama and a win for statistics. Well, good statistics, at least. (Looking at you, University of Colorado.)




Tracking the election tonight

As the results roll in tonight, you have plenty of options to keep track of who won what and where. These should cover all of your bases.

New York Times coverage — Up to their old tricks, they have a map, big board, and network calls. The paths to the White House interactive will also be updating live.

NPR big board — Updating every 15 seconds, this is the display that NPR hosts and election staff are watching. And of course, there's also news coverage.

Huffington Post map — Like the others, updates every 30 seconds. Also indicates where polls have closed.

Is Obama president? — Finally, if all you care about now is the result, the minimalist Guardian and Real Clear Politics collaboration provides that. See also Romney version.

(There are a ton more, but these are the ones I'll be watching.)




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