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Thursday, February 6, 2014

Claman On Call: Martoma convicted of insider trading

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Daily Market Update with Liz Claman

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Martoma convicted of insider trading

Claman on Call: FBN's Liz Claman with an after-hours web-exclusive on the markets, Mathew Martoma's guilty verdict, LinkedIn and Dunkin' Brands' fourth-quarter results and concerns about Twitter.

On Our Radar: News We're Following

LinkedIn's Soft Guidance Triggers 12% Slide; Earnings Narrowly Top Views
Legendary Investor Mario Gabelli's top stock picks
Dunkin' Brands CEO discusses earnings
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Micro-bloginomics

If Twitter wants to be the global town square, it needs a few more people than its current 241 million users, Mike Isaac writes. Twitter reported earnings yesterday and while revenue per user is up, growth has slowed to a crawl. Twitter’s stock price fell to $50 from $65 on Thursday, despite the fact that earnings actually beat analysts’ expectations. Matt Lynley has a good overview of the earnings call and Quartz has all the earnings charts.

The problem is the service added 9 million users in the fourth quarter — up a mere 4% from the previous quarter. Only 1 million of those new users came in the US, where most of Twitter's ad revenue comes from — up a mere 4% from the previous quarter. S&P Capital analyst Scott Kessler told Bloomberg that the slow growth calls into question Twitter’s future value to advertisers. On the earnings call, Twitter CEO Dick Costolo said the company as a growth plan, which mostly includes “making the site easier to use”, including adding richer media to the timeline and beefing up its messaging service.

Currently, Twitter doesn’t have a lot of value for people without a ton of followers, says tech consultant Rakesh Agrawal. In a post explaining why he himself loves Twitter, he explained why most people don’t: “The primary reason people in media love Twitter and splash their Twitter handles everywhere they can is that they get so much value out of it … But their readers and viewers don’t derive the same kind of value”.

While Twitter is figuring out how to grow, Facebook had a great quarter. Last week, the company announced it had revenues of almost $2.6 billion in the fourth quarter, up 63% from the same time last year. For the first time, more than half of Facebook’s revenue came from mobile. Vauhini Vara writes that Facebook’s success is largely because it “now has data that helps it prove to marketers that there is a specific—and significant—return on their investment in news-feed ads” — on desktop and mobile.

Despite Facebook’s trouble keeping teens around, Carnegie Mellon researcher Bruno Ribeiro just released a new model showing Facebook has staying power (so, too, does the service’s annoying emails about what your friends are up to).

Next, Facebook “is on the prowl for the next big smartphone app, whether it comes from inside the building or not”, says John Herrman. Late last year, he writes, the company spent $100 million on a little-known Israeli company, Onavo, which “had developed the only service that could identify, with precision, how many people were using almost any iOS app” — a feature neither Google nor Apple has. -- Shane Ferro

On to today’s links:

Pivots
Bill Gates is having his Steve Jobs moment at Microsoft -  Ben Thompson

Shocking
The most expensive housing markets in America are (still) its tech hubs - Jed Kolko

Educational
Baton Rouge's rich want to create a new town to keep poor kids out of their public schools - Bloomberg

UGH
"More than one in six men ages 25 to 54, prime working years, don't have jobs" - WSJ
It takes 19 years to dig out of the hole a bout of unemployment creates - Daniel Cooper

Yikes
"Health insurance is the only good I can think of where you have to be working at a job to get a fair price" - Sarah Kliff

Apple
Apple's growth scorecard - Horace Dediu

EU Mess
Comparing euro area and US unemployment rates - Thomas Klitgaard and Richard Peck

Big Questions
Hey, World: Why so much anarchy? - Robert Kaplan

The Oracle
Buffett’s lead widens in his hedge funds vs. index funds bet - Carol Loomis

Charts
The private fixed investment recovery: Not so bad after all - Daniel Carroll
Cities mapped by where people go running - Atlantic Cities

Hackers
Hackers got into Target's system through its air conditioning - NYT

IP
The state of digital rights management in 2014 - The Guardian

Alpha
“It sounds like something Occupy Wall Street would invent if they wanted people to hate bankers even more” - IBT

Follow Counterparties on Twitter. And, of course, there are many more links at Counterparties.

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Conservative activist claims Rep. Cummings tried to 'intimidate' her, files complaint

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Conservative activist claims Rep. Cummings tried to 'intimidate' her, files complaint
Conservative activist claims Rep. Cummings tried to 'intimidate' her, files complaint

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Business Today: SAC Capital's Martoma found guilty of insider trading

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02/6/2014
Reuters Election 2012 Daily round-up of the day's top news from the campaign trail, the White House and all the politics in between
SAC Capital's Martoma found guilty of insider trading
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Mathew Martoma, a former portfolio manager at billionaire Steven A. Cohen's SAC Capital Advisors hedge fund, was found guilty on Thursday of engaging in what prosecutors called the most lucrative insider trading scheme in U.S. history.
Wall Street rallies on labor market data, earnings
NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stocks posted their best day of the year on Thursday after a drop in applications for unemployment insurance boosted confidence in the economy and Disney's results overshot expectations.
News Corp reports lower revenue and profit
(Reuters) - News Corp reported on Thursday a 4 percent decline in quarterly revenue, citing challenges at its Australian newspaper properties.
LinkedIn 2014 revenue forecast misses Wall Street estimate
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - LinkedIn Corp delivered a revenue forecast that fell short of Wall Street expectations, sending its stock down about 8 percent in after-hours trading on Thursday.
Jobs data improves, but weak exports may hurt growth
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell more than expected last week, in a boost to the labor market outlook and the broader economy.
Airbus considers A380 revamp to lift sales: sources
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Airbus is exploring fresh ways to improve sales of the world's largest passenger jet after receiving a potentially crucial signal of support from at least one of its engine makers, industry sources said.
GM's dismal profit may spur analysts to cut 2014 estimate
DETROIT (Reuters) - General Motors Co reported a disappointing fourth-quarter profit on Thursday, hurt by weaker-than-expected results in Asia and South America that may prompt analysts to ratchet down their profit forecasts for 2014 for the No. 1 U.S. automaker.
Big bets on Green Mountain ahead of Coke stake raise eyebrows
NEW YORK (Reuters) - A surge in bets that shares of Green Mountain Coffee Roasters would rise sharply by the end of the week has raised suspicions, coming as it did just hours before news of a partnership deal with Coca-Cola .
Aston Martin says no extra cost to expanded gas pedal recall
DETROIT (Reuters) - Aston Martin said on Thursday its expanded recall of accelerator pedals in 17,590 sports cars would not result in a material added cost beyond its previous estimate of 1.5 million British pounds($2.45 million).
Former head of Britain's SFO accused of running chaotic agency
LONDON (Reuters) - Richard Alderman, the former head of Britain's leading fraud prosecution authority, oversaw a chaotic agency that was unable to keep records and documents in order, a London court heard on Thursday.
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