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Wednesday, June 1, 2011

Remember, Here's What's REALLY Killing The Recovery Dead In Its Tracks


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Wednesday, June 1, 2011
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Remember, Here's What's REALLY Killing The Recovery Dead In Its Tracks

You can come up with all kinds of explanations for the fact that the recovery is fading: Japan, the Arab unrest, house prices, concerns over Europe, etc.

In reality there's only one good answer: This isn't a business cycle, it's a balance sheet recession. And though there's been some deleveraging (thank you Federal spending), the consumer is still way too leveraged to have any new breathing room.

In fact, to deleverage, the consumer has a lot more debt killing left to do.

This chart of household debt as a percentage of personal income is crystal clear (via Krugman). Read »


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