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Monday, November 11, 2013

The Great American Gas Price Economic Stimulus

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The Great American Gas Price Economic Stimulus

We've been telling you how low 2013 gas prices have provided a significant lift to the economy.

For instance, Deutsche Bank's Joe LaVorgna has a rule of thumb which says that every penny of lower gas prices per gallon yields $1 billion in economic stimulus.

In the past 12 months, prices have fallen about $0.25 to a national average of $3.19 (a level not seen since last December) — which means other expenditures could have climbed by $25 billion.

Today, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus reminds us this all bodes well for the economy in Q4.

"Average gasoline prices fell 2.05% over the last five trading sessions," writes Stoltzfus. "Average prices are $0.23 or 9.4% below their year average. Should average prices continue to fall, it could provide a boost to consumer confidence and even an increase in consumer spending heading into the holiday season."


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